Sports The 2024 college soccer season might possibly presumably already be underway, but most teams originate no longer birth their year except this weekend.
Which system there is soundless a whereas to come by some futures bets in.
One having a wager market that is certainly sleek amongst college soccer bettors is the Heisman Trophy.
As bettors are trying to battle by means of the unheard of waters of the expanded Faculty Football Playoff and extra convention growth, there is quite so much of precedent to work off of with the Heisman Trophy. The prestigious award has an 89-year history, but there is been a honest style that is developed in most popular years amongst the avid gamers who’ve received the award.
Let’s protect terminate a stumble on at some history first earlier than we jump into the action.
The final 10 winners and their preseason odds
2023: Jayden Daniels (+1000)
2022: Caleb Williams (+600)
2021: Bryce Younger (+800)
2020: DeVonta Smith (+10000)
2019: Joe Burrow (+4000)
2018: Kyler Murray (+3000)
2017: Baker Mayfield (+1000)
2016: Lamar Jackson (+10000)
2015: Derrick Henry (+2500)
2014: Marcus Mariota (+425)
When having a stumble on at the odds, the massive majority of winners weren’t favorites or total prolonged-shot bets. Most winners truly fell between +1000 and +4000 on the pre-season having a wager boards. And, eight of the final 10 winners had odds of +4000 or higher to receive the award.
As of Tuesday afternoon, there are for the time being 21 avid gamers who bear odds of +4000 or higher.
Now, let’s stumble on at some more criteria to support narrow the discipline. This is in a position to bear to soundless with relatively luck also draw up with about a names to throw about a greenbacks down on to receive the award.
Which positions did the final 10 Heisman winners play?
Eight of the final 10 Heisman winners bear been quarterbacks, with Henry being the lone working support to receive the award and Smith being the major receiver to receive the award since 1991.
So, most popular history tells us that it would be neat to wager on a quarterback to receive the award in 2024.
All 21 avid gamers who bear +4000 odds or higher to receive the award are truly quarterbacks, so this does not reduction narrow the discipline quite yet.
How many of the previous 10 Heisman winners were on teams ranked in the preseason AP top 25?
Every of the final 10 Heisman winners were on teams that were ranked in the preseason AP top 25. That won’t ravishing news for Shedeur Sanders bettors. He’s the good player who has +4000 odds or higher to no longer be on a crew ranked in the highest 25.
CFB Preview: Heisman Trophy odds and most efficient bets How many of the previous 10 Heisman winners were on teams ranked in the highest 10 of the preseason AP top 25?
You most regularly most efficient need to stumble on at the highest 10 of the preseason AP top 25 poll to fetch the eventual winner of that year’s Heisman over the final 10 seasons. Lamar Jackson was the good winner in the final 10 years to be on a crew that was ranked birth air the highest 10 entering the season.
That narrows the discipline correct down to eight avid gamers amongst the crew who bear odds of +4000 or higher. Oregon’s Dillon Gabriel (+700), Georgia’s Carson Beck (+750), Texas’ Quinn Ewers (+1000), Ohio Utter’s Will Howard (+1400), Alabama’s Jalen Milroe (+1400), Ole Race away out’ Jaxson Hotfoot (+1400), Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard (+2200) and Penn Utter’s Drew Allar (+3100).
Chris “The Gather” Fallica has made the case for Ohio Utter quarterback Julian Sayin on episodes of “Gather Bets.” Alternatively, Will Howard was named the Buckeyes’ beginning quarterback for this upcoming season. Furthermore, Andre Ware was the final player to receive the Heisman who didn’t receive every sport.
How many of the final 10 Heisman winners were transfers?
5 of the final 10 Heisman winners transferred to the college where they received the award. Alternatively, the final five quarterbacks to receive the Heisman (Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow, Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels) were all transfers.
That narrows the discipline correct down to five. Gabriel, Ewers, Howard, Hotfoot and Leonard all transferred to the college they’re each at. Florida Utter’s DJ Uiagalelei might possibly presumably also fall into this class. He had +3100 odds to receive the award earlier in August, but his odds dropped to +6000 after tenth-ranked Florida Utter was upset by Georgia Tech in Ireland. Uiagalelei’s performance was widely seen as disappointing, as he threw for lawful 193 yards.
Whenever you happen to’re soundless a believer in Uiagalelei, you can have the option to come by him at a ravishing quantity ravishing now. Genuinely, Daniels received the Heisman final year after LSU suffered a blowout loss to Florida Utter final season.
Regardless, if you happen to’re having a stumble on to come by a handful of wagers on the Heisman earlier than the 2024 season, most popular history says that you might possibly bear to soundless wager on a quarterback transfer who will birth for a top-10 crew in the nation.
Final year’s top three voting outcomes extra support up that sentiment. Michael Penix Jr. and Bo Nix completed 2nd and third in the Heisman vote final season, respectively, turning into finalists for the award after they transferred.
So who does that leave us with?
CFB Week 0 Participant Props: Oregon’s Evan Stewart and Dillon Gabriel Nix resurrecting his profession at Oregon has led some to mediate that Gabriel will protect terminate every other jump and bear a sturdy probability to receive the Heisman. He truly become the having a wager approved to receive the Heisman, with bettors heavily backing him. He’s the third-greatest liability for sportsbooks in the Heisman market as of July 19, according to BetMGM.
The subset leaves you with Gabriel, Ewers, Howard, Hotfoot, Leonard and even Uiagalelei.
Pointless to notify, this isn’t any longer to notify that the Heisman winner will positively be one in every of those candidates. One of thoroughly different quarterbacks on a top 10 crew, devour Beck, or a quarterback on a crew birth air the highest 10 might possibly presumably receive the award. Heck, DeVonta Smith lawful received the award three years prior to now with +10000 preseason odds.
For what it be price, FOX Sports Having a wager Analyst Sammy P likes Hotfoot to receive the award.
“I stumble on at a quarterback that threw for over 3,000 yards final year, 31 touchdowns total, most of those by means of the air. He had some on the bottom. He’s got devour, three NFL receivers, and he’s got four offensive linemen that Lane Kiffin has slowly plopped into that line because that was truly their extinct space the final two, three years.
“I also stumble on Heisman moments. There is a sport on Nov. 9 in Oxford where Georgia involves Ole Race away out. I know Georgia is superior, but Georgia’s front isn’t any longer as ravishing as it be been in years previous. … I saw the stat that the Heisman approved has most efficient received once in the final 9 years. So right here’s an award where you originate no longer need to protect terminate Dillon Gabriel or Carson Beck .”
Whenever you happen to’re going off of previous history to come to a decision a Heisman winner, then one in every of those quarterbacks mentioned above is price a sprinkle.
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