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2024 Kentucky Derby expert picks, submit positions, odds, time: Insider fades Fierceness at Churchill Downs

2024 Kentucky Derby expert picks, submit positions, odds, time: Insider fades Fierceness at Churchill Downs

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American Pharoh modified into the first horse to receive the Triple Crown in 37 years when he accomplished the feat in 2015. Three years later, Justify modified into the thirteenth Triple Crown winner, leading horse racing fans to wonder if we had been about to appear at another creep of Triple Crown champions every few years. No other horse has captured the Triple Crown since 2018, however that would possibly presumably perhaps all alternate in the 2024 Kentucky Derby on Saturday at Churchill Downs. Fierceness is the 5-2 celebrated in the 2024 Kentucky Derby odds, with Sierra Leone at 3-1. Conventionally wisdom would repeat you one in every of these 2024 Kentucky Derby horses would have the appropriate possibilities at turning in the 14th Triple Crown, however must peaceable you is seemingly to be feeling solid enough to comprise either of them in 2024 Kentucky Derby bets at their present 2024 Kentucky Derby odds?

Post time for the first leg of the Triple Crown is determined for six:57 p.m. ET. With the Kentucky Derby providing arguably the appropriate having a bet opportunity of any single sporting match of the 300 and sixty five days, you are going to are desirous to see what Saratoga Springs-primarily based fully mostly racing insider and Beyer Dart Figure maker Bob Weir has to train sooner than making any 2024 Kentucky Derby picks.

A member of the Beyer Dart Figure-making crew since 2017, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced more than one 5-opt days on the display screen over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014 and an $18,000 Pick 5 at Tampa Bay Downs in early April.

In April of final 300 and sixty five days, he hit a Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park for $641, the exacta in the Florida Derby, a Pick 5 at Keeneland and the exacta in the Lexington Stakes. He smashed the trifecta in the Belmont Stakes for $532.96, and later in June he beaten a Pick 4 at Belmont for $555. Those had been shapely about a of his rankings from 2023.

For Saturday, he has handicapped the 2024 Kentucky Derby lineup, made his picks and constructed his bets. You presumably can head to SportsLine now to glimpse them.

High 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions One surprise: Weir is fading Fierceness, even supposing he is the cease celebrated. Fierceness emerged because the 2024 Kentucky Derby celebrated after taking the Florida Derby by 13 1/2 lengths, the widest margin of victory ever. Twenty-5 horses have won the Kentucky Derby after winning the Florida Derby over the past 71 years, winning at a 35% clip.

On the opposite hand, contemporary outcomes don’t match the 35% receive price. Continuously Dreaming is the final horse to receive the Kentucky Derby after the Florida Derby, doing so in 2017. The final six Kentucky Derby races had been won by a horse as adverse to the Florida Derby winner, with the final three winners coming off a loss altogether of their previous creep. Fierceness has won three of 5 career races to turn out to be the favourite however at 5-2 odds, Weir suggests you would possibly perhaps presumably perhaps fetch better designate in various locations in the 2024 Kentucky Derby field.

Another curveball: Weir is excessive on the chances of Japanese invader Ad infinitum Younger, even supposing he’s a 10-1 longshot. Ad infinitum Younger is expert by Yoshito Yahagi, who expert two horses (Loves Easiest You and Marche Lorraine) to victories on the 2021 Breeders’ Cup. Yahagi modified into the first Japanese trainer to receive any creep on the Breeders’ Cup. He’s expert about a of Japan’s most attention-grabbing horses, including the 2020 Japanese Triple Crown winner.

No Japanese horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby, however Yahagi has already accomplished a first in American horse racing. Ad infinitum Younger has won all 5 of his career races, one in every of handiest two horses in the 2024 Kentucky Derby field ready to make that claim, and he’s one in every of 5 horses with odds of 10-1 or shorter to receive the  Dart for the Roses. Japanese horses have garnered more respect as of late, making it seemingly handiest a matter of time till one breaks via for a victory in the Kentucky Derby. You presumably can see all of Weir’s 2024 Kentucky Derby bets right here.

How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby picks Moreover, Weir is excessive on a large double-digit longshot who “would possibly presumably perhaps presumably be ready for his most attention-grabbing.” Weir is including this surprising horse in his 2024 Kentucky Derby bets, and so must peaceable you. He’s sharing which horses to relieve handiest at SportsLine.

So who wins the Kentucky Derby 2024, and what double-digit longshot is a must-relieve? Take a look at out the most modern 2024 Kentucky Derby odds below, then talk over with SportsLine to glimpse Weir’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the horse racing insider who has had more than one 5-opt days on the display screen and shapely hit an $18,000 payday, and uncover. 

2024 Kentucky Derby odds, submit positions Prg # Horse Odds Projection 1 Dornoch 20-1 SEE PICKS 2 Sierra Leone 3-1 SEE PICKS 3 Mystik Dan 20-1 SEE PICKS 4 Catching Freedom 8-1 SEE PICKS 5 Catalytic 30-1 SEE PICKS 6 Simply Steel 20-1 SEE PICKS 7 Honor Marie 20-1 SEE PICKS 8 Simply a Touch 10-1 SEE PICKS 9 Encino 20-1 SCR 10 T O Password (JPN) 30-1 SEE PICKS 11 Ad infinitum Younger (JPN) 10-1 SEE PICKS 12 Music Phantom 20-1 SEE PICKS 13 West Saratoga 50-1 SEE PICKS 14 Ad infinitum 30-1 SEE PICKS 15 Domestic Product 30-1 SEE PICKS 16 Worthy Mo the First 50-1 SEE PICKS 17 Fierceness 5-2 SEE PICKS 18 Stronghold 20-1 SEE PICKS 19 Resilience 20-1 SEE PICKS 20 Society Man 50-1 SEE PICKS 21 Story Ride 30-1 SEE PICKS

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